“The global economy is not like your car, you can’t turn it off and on and expect it to function smoothly”
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Brian Wesbury, First Trust Chief Economist
Although this chip shortage has created some near-term headwinds for a whole host of industries, it’s important thematic investors don’t lose sight of the long-term trends in play here.
We believe that these chips could potentially power the next decade of global growth in an increasingly data-driven world, much like oil fuelled the rise of industrial economies in the previous century.
Whether we’re talking about microchips or potato chips, these events should act as a wake-up call for companies who need to gain a deeper understanding of their supply chains if they aren’t already.
Shipping giant A.P. Moller-Maersk, acutely aware of how fickle “the chain” can be, worked with IBM back in 2016 to leverage blockchain technology to help the company become paperless and digitise the entire industry’s supply chain.
Blockchain, a distributed ledger is perfectly suited for slashing this type of bureaucracy, recording transactions in sequential blocks, creating encrypted data that can be shared between several parties through the supply chain and updating them instantly without risk of fraud.
Maersk tracked a shipment of flowers from Kenya to Rotterdam, which generated dozens of documents and nearly 200 communications across farmers, freight forwarders, land-based transporters, customs brokers, governments, ports and carriers.
Additionally, Maersk appear to be one of the few beneficiaries of the current global supply chain constraints.
Its recent earnings update saw the firm raise profit guidance this year after freight rates soared.
The world’s largest container line added almost $5 billion to the midpoint of its operating profit forecast while revenue grew 58 % to $14.2bn in Q2 this year.
The reason?
A little over a year ago a container (40-foot box) could be shipped from Shanghai to New York at a cost of $2,500, on 24th June we saw that price spike to over $11,000 and now we’ve seen prices reach over $15,000. This represents a climb of over 500% from a year ago (see chart below).
Not many ETFs offer investors exposure to a shipping giant created in 1904 (APM) and a semi-conductor manufacturer providing chips for gamers, streamers and Tesla’s alike (Nvidia).
Thematic investing can help. Blockchain is a foundational technology which straddles sectorial barriers, and therefore requires a thematic strategy that can tap directly into the ways in which businesses are adapting alongside this technology.
Blockchain is often referred to as the Trust Protocol. Thematic investing is less about a company’s growth story, more about the underlying tectonic shifts which move markets.
Finding those chip makers that are enabling the continuation of our digital revolution, is really what sets thematic investors apart.
From chips to ships, the global supply chains appears heavily constricted for the foreseeable future.
However, by utilising blockchain technology, these ships are using chips (not McDonald’s variety) to help solve these issues and alleviate the pressure on the chain.
Far from being used solely by these ships, blockchain is alleviating supply chain pressures across an array of other segments the world over; from cross border trade, to food supply, and even to aviation.
Source: Bloomberg, dates from 23/6/2011 – 9/9/20211 Highlighted route is Shanghai to New York.
Important Information
This financial promotion is issued by First Trust Global Portfolios Management Limited (“FTGPM”) of Fitzwilliam Hall, Fitzwilliam Place, Dublin 2, D02 T292. FTGPM is authorised and regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland (“CBI”) (C185737). The Fund is also regulated by the CBI.
Nothing contained herein constitutes investment, legal, tax or other advice and it is not to be solely relied on in making an investment or other decision, nor does the document implicitly or explicitly recommend or suggest an investment strategy, reach conclusions in relation to an investment strategy for the reader, or provide any opinions as to the present or future value or price of any fund. It is not an invitation, offer, or solicitation to engage in any investment activity, including making an investment in a Fund, nor does the information, recommendations or opinions expressed herein constitute an offer for sale of a Fund.
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