COP26 Delivers
COP26 was billed as a test of global solidarity and the most important climate talks since the Paris Agreement was signed in 2015. Did it deliver?
Consensus is still mixed and the ultimate measure will come down to the level of C02 in the atmosphere. However, there were a lot of positives to take away from the summit.
This COP was especially noteworthy, as it marked the fifth conference since the Paris Agreement was signed, which meant it was the first COP in which Governments were required to measure and review the progress (or lack thereof) so far achieved, and revise and notch up their targets to remain on track for meeting the goals of the Paris Agreement.
It delivered a new “Glasgow Climate Pact” agreed by more than 190 countries; an unprecedented political agreement towards a more ambitious climate response. All signatories acknowledged, for the first time, that burning fossil fuels is warming the planet and causing our climate to change. Another positive from Glasgow is the Paris Rulebook.
Countries agreed the Paris Rulebook, a set of essential technical guidelines to implement the Paris Agreement, including guidance on carbon trading, timeframes for countries’ emissions reduction targets, and guidelines on transparency.
The Paris Agreement was in place for six years, but what was important about Glasgow is now there is agreement on how to implement it. This is vital because it allows the focus to shift from negotiation to implementation. This can also make implementation more cost effective.
Positive Promises
More than 100 countries representing 85% of the world’s forests agreed to end and reverse deforestation by 2030.
This commitment is also backed by $19.2bn in public and private funding. India pledged to reach net zero carbon emissions by 2070. Other countries have committed to reach it by 2050.
Twenty countries promised to end public financing for “unabated” fossil fuel projects overseas by the end of 2022 – meaning coal, oil and natural gas will only be extracted if there is technology to capture the CO2 emissions.
More than 40 countries agreed to move away from fossil fuels and fund clean, green technology to make it cheaper than the alternatives by 2030. The U.S. reached an unexpected deal to work closely with China and cut CO2 emissions in the next decade.
They vowed to regulate decarbonisation, methane emissions, and fight deforestation together by meeting regularly. As two of the world’s largest producers of CO2 emissions, this was a landmark agreement.
The Glasgow Climate Pact also aims to keep the 1.5C target alive. However, many were disappointed by the shortfall in countries’ pledges to cut their emissions, which scientists say still do not put the world on track for the Paris Agreement goal of keeping global temperatures to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
There was also disappointment that the ‘phase-out’ of coal ended at a ‘phase-down’, and the elimination of fossil-fuel subsidies was tempered.
“1.5°C is not dead, but pledges do not reduce emissions, only national policies do, and they have to be implemented. So, it’s a Schrödinger’s cat situation in that it’s dead and alive for now – and we’ll only know which it really is when we measure emissions in the coming years.”
Dr Fredi Otto, Senior Lecturer at the Grantham Institute
Will this go down in history?
It all comes down to the next moves. About $130trn of investment is necessary to achieve global net-zero emissions.
$20trn of this is needed by 2025. The U.S. has already announced federal funding for clean energy, climate and green infrastructure in President Biden’s landmark $1.2 trillion Infrastructure Bill – including $7.5bn for EV charging networks, between $2.5-5bn for EV bus networks, $12bn for battery manufacturing and materials, $28bn for grid modernization, $5.4bn for energy efficiency, $9.5bn for hydrogen, $51bn for water infrastructure.
The energy transition is already underway and at a rapid speed, as technology, capital, and policy advancements combine to drive substantial change, whilst businesses and individuals alike are adopting the benefits of clean energy.
At the forefront of this shift has been the growth of renewable energy (mainly solar and wind), the increase of energy storage and EVs, and the dawn of smart and connected electric grids. Our article “The Power You’re Supplying: It’s Electrifying” dives deeper into Electrification: which is the backbone of many decarbonisation strategies.
The investment needed to decarbonise our planet and transition to clean energy is crucial for our future world, it is also an opportunity for investors in itself. We continue to believe in the advantages of a theme-based approach; offering investors pure play exposure to companies at the forefront of today’s megatrends.
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